Well, here I sit in my office on a anything but a typical Monday afternoon. I suppose I could write about Sunday NFL Football, or even the PokerStars World Championship of Online Poker. However looking at what is transpiring in the Absolute Poker super user account drama, I suppose I’ll write about this.
I’ll start by acknowledging when this whole thing started back in September, I was a bit skeptical. Believe me, being in this industry since the planet poker days….. I have heard my fair share of “online poker is rigged” stories. Over the weekend however, a new chapter of this ongoing scandal unfolded. The two main threads on this whole thing are here. The P5’s one is probably an easier read and more significant.
Consolidated Pocket Fives Threads
2+2
Basically AP support accidentally sent an excel file to one of the P5′rs upon request with the HH’s from the $1k tournament in question. Not only were the requested tournament hand histories in this file , so were all the hole cards of every player in the tournament. Allegedly the report also included email addresses, I.P. addresses, and user account I.D. numbers of all the players in the tourney.
Apparently someone with a user account that was very low (in the 300’s) meaning they were among one of the first 300 accounts to ever sign up at AP, was railing the alleged cheaters table throughout the entire event. The theory is that this user on the rail could have been the super user account, and the one feeding potripper. There is much more to this as well so feel free to read the threads directly.
If poker players were going to prove even further the existence of superuser accounts or that specific players could see others hole cards, this would be a pretty good piece of evidence. The fact that AP even sent an excel file like this reminds me of Sopranos scenes where people would have to go out and dig their own grave. So pop yourself some popcorn, pour a beer, or do whatever you have to do to get through the hours of reading all the threads and research on this. Once you do however, it is really hard to not “ask questions”. Something certainly is not adding up here.
Instead of getting into a whole new debate on the actual existence an Absolute Poker super user account, I’d rather discuss the implications for poker affiliates. You can read through the two posts above and form your own opinion just like I did on the matter.
Many forum members on some of the largest poker forums out there are calling for the forum owners to discontinue advertising both AP and UB. In fact I have even been asked to pull them from the PAW Network. From the players standpoint it is very easy. Put yourself in a super affiliates shoes however. Imagine you were easily making six figures every few months from AP and UB. Likewise now imagine you rank very high in the SERPS for some AP/UB terms and you consistently send players to these sites every day. Even worse, what if a large % of your income is from players on MGR?
#1 Do you really want to self implode your monthly MGR at Absolute or UB, and then see these same players go over to FullTilt or Stars where they’re not on your trackers?
#2 Even if you remove AP/UB from your site, does it make sense to openly advise people NOT to play there considering #1, as well as the fact that AP/UB controls the sending of your monthly affiliate revenue for those sites. If PocketFives for example decided to take down AP, and then make a huge story out of this, how excited is Chipleader or AP upper management going to be to send them their big affiliate check each month. And believe me, with the portfolio of sites the PSO network has, the money lost by removing AP/UB would easily be in the 7 figures each year. And this is regardless if AP continues paying affiliate revenue in good faith. This just on new sign-ups.
Clearly you can see now how this is problematic for affiliates. Yea Yea, I know some of the players or even smaller affiliates will argue that there should be no question and due to the evidence involved, AP should be removed. And how could P5’s, Pnews, or any site want their name attached to AP/UB throughout this scandal? I can see this side of the argument, however it’s about a lot more than just simply removing AP from their sites. Likewise many players want us big affiliates to help get the word out about this whole incident. For example, this should be homepage stories on PokerNews, CardPlayer, PocketFives, and every other big poker portal.
Ummmm, here lies the next problem. If we ever want to see online poker legitimized, regulated, or legalized, then this is not smart. The fucking idiots running the U.S. that are so against online gambling would love to see this happen though. This becoming a huge story does absolutely nothing good for the short term or long term growth of online poker.
Either way, whatever happens in this incident is such -EV for poker players, affiliates, and AP/UB. The sad thing is that I really like the team over at Chipleader. Despite their issues, they all seem to be very decent and sincere people. If there indeed was a massive breach in their security, I don’t think we can hold anyone at chipleader personally responsible. They work in the affiliate department and are all just caught up in a really shitty situation.
I haven’t decided what I am going to do in regards to AP on the PAW Network. As always, please share your comments and suggestions.